Crypto Is At Its Peak – When Will Bitcoin, Ethereum And Altseason End?

Although the crypto market is at an all-time high, many traders are still wondering what will happen next. The key questions being asked are: When will Bitcoin peak? When will Ethereum peak? And when will Altseason really begin? According to the analysis of Ciclop – a seasoned investor with 8 years of experience and over 6 million USD in profits – the history of the crypto market shows that the structure of price increase cycles has remained nearly unchanged over the past decade. However, the larger market size and the participation of financial institutions may make the final phase of this cycle different. Lessons from Previous Cycles Ciclop has studied more than 13 hours of data from previous cycles and drawn a clear rule: In 2017: Bitcoin surged from April to mid-December, peaking on December 17. Afterwards, BTC Dominance quickly dropped, leading to an Altseason lasting about 1 month, peaking in January 2018, before the market collapsed. In 2021: Bitcoin rose from May and peaked on November 10. BTC Dominance fell from 70% to 38%, creating opportunities for altcoins to explode in 28 days, before everything plummeted in December. Common point: Bitcoin peaks → Ethereum and large-cap coins continue to rise for a short period → Altseason lasts about 30–40 days → crypto market collapses sharply. Current Cycle: A Scenario That Can Repeat According to Ciclop, the market is currently showing similar signs: Bitcoin will soon reach a new peak. Ethereum may peak in the next month. Altseason lasts about 20–40 days, likely falling into the December – January period. Will the Crash be as Severe as Before? In previous cycles, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced declines of 70–80% from their peaks. This time, Ciclop predicts that the drop may be milder – around 60% – due to the larger market size and strong participation from institutions. However: High-cap altcoins still face a risk of dropping 90% like before. "Black swan" events such as major exchange crashes or large project failures can still cause prices to fall more rapidly. As Ciclop warns: "When everything seems to be going well, that's when we start to decline – and if bad news hits, the fall will be even faster." Personal Strategy: Sell When Prices Are Rising Ciclop has sold 30% of the Ethereum he holds, believing that the current risk/reward ratio is not attractive. His plan: Gradually divest from now until November-December, when history shows this is the time to end the rally of Bitcoin and the beginning of the peak of altcoin. The message he sent to traders: "No one can sell everything at the peak. Sell when the price is going up, because when it starts to drop, you won't be able to." Lessons for New Investors Participating If entering the crypto market at this stage, Ciclop advises focusing on 3 things: Make a clear profit-taking plan – do not let emotions dictate. Choose the right altcoin for the final stage of the cycle. Follow reliable information sources and always manage risk. ⏳ Conclusion: If history repeats itself, Bitcoin and Ethereum could peak before the end of the year, followed by a brief explosive Altseason. Although the upcoming decline may be milder than before, for those without an exit strategy, there is a high possibility of "drifting" down with the crypto market to the bottom.

BTC-0.6%
ETH-1.78%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate app
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)